Episode · the market · Nov 9, 3:07 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T20:07Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 20:03Z setup, P1, salience 86: FNF new session high: closed 45 above 44.89 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.08-44.62.
- 20:03Z setup, P1, salience 79: RACE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 420.82 above 419.83 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 417.58-419.83.
- 20:03Z setup, P1, salience 71: CAVA new session high: closed 61.6 above 61.42 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 59.84-61.14.
- 20:03Z setup, P1, salience 65: WAB new session high: closed 299.71 above 299.35 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 290.18-294.08.
- 20:04Z setup, P1, salience 86: CELH new session high: closed 33.3 above 33.25 on 8.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.3-33.17.
- 20:05Z setup, P1, salience 86: EMBJ new session high: closed 77.4 above 77.32 on 8× its median minute volume today; opening range 75.9-76.44.
- 20:05Z setup, P1, salience 74: WMS new session high: closed 132.99 above 132.75 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 127.37-128.16.
- 20:05Z setup, P1, salience 67: CSL new session high: closed 398.9 above 398.29 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 388.77-388.77.
- 20:05Z setup, P1, salience 64: CR new session high: closed 210.98 above 210.33 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 207.74-207.74.
- 20:05Z setup, P1, salience 64: GME new session high: closed 25.945 above 25.9 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.68-25.35.
- 20:07Z setup, P1, salience 86: RIVN new session high: closed 14.075 above 14.04 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 13.62-13.87.
- 20:07Z setup, P1, salience 74: HTFL new session high: closed 56.5 above 56.41 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.16-55.24.
- 20:07Z setup, P1, salience 62: AHR new session high: closed 58.93 above 58.87 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.06-58.58.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10150.25 (+1.5%) · today +2.5% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.965 (3.09%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 384.63 (0.21%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 141.35 (3.12%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 327.48 (8.14%), stop 304.81, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.32 (0.19%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.86 (0.29%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 199.295 (0.23%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 754.05 (0.85%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.25 (-1.36%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.1 (-1.81%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 352.3 (0.02%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week clo… [cut: 13,983 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 20:07Z ET, well past the close. The closing window is over and no new entries are permitted. I am reviewing the book for any urgent news or stop-outs, but none are triggered. All positions remain open."
}