Episode · the market · Nov 9, 10:52 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T15:52Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 88: VSXY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 113.94 above 113.16 on 24.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 110.65-113.16.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: TTMI new session high: closed 73.83 above 73.7 on 6.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 67.19-69.79.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 86: AMH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 33.13 above 33.09 on 7.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.88-33.09.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 77: QXO new session high: closed 13.495 above 13.48 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.49-13.2.
- 15:48Z setup, P1, salience 72: VLY new session high: closed 14.485 above 14.47 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 14.26-14.33.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 94: CG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.49 above 40.67 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.97-40.67.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 89: OUST new session high: closed 37.56 above 37.29 on 5.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.96-35.66.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 69: MOD new session high: closed 106.39 above 106.15 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 99.41-100.43.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 69: OKTA new session high: closed 178.345 above 178.1 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 167.49-171.96.
- 15:50Z setup, P1, salience 68: UMC new session high: closed 14.865 above 14.83 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 14.4-14.52.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 88: MYRG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 273.875 above 272.04 on 16.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 272.04-272.04.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: DG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 134.645 above 134.37 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 133.71-134.37.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: BN new session high: closed 42.66 above 42.6 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 42.09-42.31.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: VKTX new session high: closed 28.525 above 28.44 on 6.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.59-27.
- 15:51Z setup, P1, salience 84: MAT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 15.91 above 15.89 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.32-15.89.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 95: SGRY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 26.67 above 26.09 on 17.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 25.8-26.09.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 88: SMR new session high: closed 5.38 above 5.35 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 4.97-5.11.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 88: HLI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 148.645 above 147.73 on 11.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 147.73-147.73.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 87: SANM new session high: closed 147.65 above 147.09 on 6× its median minute volume today; opening range 138.89-140.86.
- 15:52Z setup, P1, salience 86: ASML new session high: closed 1512.49 above 1510.01 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 1474.4-1501.04.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10036.79 (+0.37%) · today +1.35% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.33 (2.50%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 387.39 (0.89%), stop 309.46, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.45 (2.51%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 309.68 (1.57%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.18 (0.60%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.5 (0.09%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 199.44 (0.24%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 750.93 (0.44%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day avera… [cut: 15,740 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "MARKET",
      "text": "15:52Z: Closing window. No new entries allowed. All setups are late-day breakouts without catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "15:52Z: Closing window. No new entries. Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered."
}