Episode · the market · Nov 9, 2:42 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T19:42Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:38Z setup, P1, salience 86: AVAV new session high: closed 127.16 above 127.01 on 9.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 114.25-114.25.
- 19:39Z setup, P1, salience 95: IWP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 129.46 above 126.41 on 5.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 126.37-126.41.
- 19:39Z setup, P1, salience 91: AXTX new session high: closed 8.1 above 8.01 on 9.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 6.36-7.1.
- 19:39Z setup, P1, salience 91: FIGR new session high: closed 24.27 above 24.01 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.33-22.78.
- 19:39Z setup, P1, salience 91: SCO new session high: closed 20.065 above 19.81 on 79.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.55-19.77.
- 19:39Z setup, P1, salience 89: AGQ new session high: closed 50.61 above 50.23 on 10.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.34-49.77.
- 19:40Z setup, P1, salience 86: EMB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 92.57 above 92.46 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 92.38-92.46.
- 19:40Z setup, P1, salience 86: SOXQ new session high: closed 79.095 above 79.01 on 16.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.62-76.31.
- 19:40Z setup, P1, salience 86: DAL new session high: closed 91.72 above 91.46 on 6.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 90.82-91.32.
- 19:40Z setup, P1, salience 86: NCLH new session high: closed 18.605 above 18.57 on 8.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.39-18.55.
- 19:40Z setup, P1, salience 86: MTUM new session high: closed 66.97 above 66.9 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 64.61-65.38.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 86: XME new session high: closed 98.82 above 98.71 on 10.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 95.9-96.61.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 86: IAU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 77.64 above 77.55 on 8.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 77.35-77.55.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 86: CCL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 30.96 above 30.92 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 30.54-30.92.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 80: UGL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 44.62 above 44.54 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.31-44.54.
- 19:41Z setup, P1, salience 74: BRKR new session high: closed 66.665 above 66.52 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 61.7-63.23.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 88: UAL new session high: closed 121.72 above 120.94 on 13× its median minute volume today; opening range 118.87-120.55.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 86: GLD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 378.76 above 378.27 on 17.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 376.96-378.27.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 86: INTW new session high: closed 5.91 above 5.9 on 8.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.32-5.59.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 86: WH new session high: closed 80.49 above 80.31 on 8.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.77-79.56.
- 19:42Z setup, P1, salience 86: FHN new session high: closed 23.785 above 23.76 on 9× its median minute volume today; opening range 23.26-23.42.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10118.03 (+1.18%) · today +2.17% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 107.04 (3.09%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 384.29 (0.00%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 141.44 (3.24%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 323.14 (6.25%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.355 (0.16%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.79 (0.24%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.86 (0.04%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 755.02 (0.98%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its … [cut: 16,254 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 19:42Z ET (after hours). The closing window has passed and the regular session is closed. No new entries are possible until tomorrow's open. I am holding all 11 positions with no exits triggered."
}