Episode · the market · Nov 9, 10:57 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T15:57Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:53Z setup, P1, salience 92: AXTX new session high: closed 7.79 above 7.69 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 6.36-7.1.
- 15:53Z setup, P1, salience 87: DAVE new session high: closed 289.08 above 287.99 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 275.9-282.25.
- 15:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: BAI new session high: closed 35.87 above 35.83 on 8.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.37-34.92.
- 15:53Z setup, P1, salience 83: SPYV new session high: closed 64.13 above 64.01 on 4.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 63.63-63.85.
- 15:53Z setup, P1, salience 79: BNY new session high: closed 152.07 above 151.82 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 148.54-149.83.
- 15:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: MMED new session high: closed 17.395 above 17.36 on 17.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.85-16.99.
- 15:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: ISRG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 459.705 above 458.9 on 11.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 455.75-458.9.
- 15:54Z setup, P1, salience 85: AVDE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 89.64 above 89.44 on 4.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 89.2-89.44.
- 15:54Z setup, P1, salience 82: EQH new session high: closed 55.34 above 55.17 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.35-54.55.
- 15:54Z setup, P1, salience 77: MTUM new session high: closed 66.62 above 66.46 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 64.61-65.38.
- 15:55Z setup, P1, salience 95: MF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 18.35 above 17.25 on 19.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.85-17.25.
- 15:55Z setup, P1, salience 91: CELC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 69.74 above 68.72 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 68.72-68.72.
- 15:55Z setup, P1, salience 86: ROK new session high: closed 393.62 above 392.72 on 7.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 385.18-387.71.
- 15:55Z setup, P1, salience 83: TLN new session high: closed 358.145 above 357.34 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 343.36-350.09.
- 15:55Z setup, P1, salience 65: USAR new session high: closed 8.875 above 8.82 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 8.17-8.32.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 78: LITX new session high: closed 10.68 above 10.66 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 8.73-9.7.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 78: KRMN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 46.09 above 46.02 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.99-46.02.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 75: KRE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 73.56 above 73.4 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 73.03-73.4.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 69: NTSK new session high: closed 22.31 above 22.27 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.24-21.41.
- 15:56Z setup, P1, salience 67: LRCX new session high: closed 217.07 above 216.85 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 204.69-210.77.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 86: MAT new session high: closed 15.945 above 15.92 on 8.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.32-15.89.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 83: XPO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 185.74 above 183.87 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 183.26-183.87.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 81: KSS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 24.87 above 24.78 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 23.88-24.78.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 79: CLS new session high: closed 223.715 above 222.96 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 209.3-215.
- 15:57Z setup, P1, salience 77: FER opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 60.65 above 60.42 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 60.2-60.42.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10068.99 (+0.69%) · today +1.68% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.9 (3.03%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.25 (1.42%), stop 309.46, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.77 (2.77%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 310.97 (2.26%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.96 (0.89%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.49 (0.08%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.895 (-0.11%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM … [cut: 17,222 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "MARKET",
      "text": "15:57Z: Closing window. No new entries allowed. All setups are late-day breakouts without catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "15:57Z: Closing window. No new entries allowed. All setups are late-day breakouts without catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
}