Episode · the market · Nov 9, 12:12 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T17:12Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:08Z setup, P1, salience 65: GWRE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 160.5 above 160.02 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 160.02-160.02.
- 17:08Z setup, P1, salience 65: CHD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 110.84 above 110.56 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 109.1-110.56.
- 17:09Z setup, P1, salience 87: POOL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 218.88 above 215.04 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 213.75-215.04.
- 17:09Z setup, P1, salience 86: XP new session high: closed 15.615 above 15.6 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.2-15.35.
- 17:09Z setup, P1, salience 78: WPC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 65.82 above 65.4 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 65.26-65.4.
- 17:09Z setup, P1, salience 67: ONTO new session high: closed 193.78 above 193.48 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 180-184.67.
- 17:09Z setup, P1, salience 65: TTMI new session high: closed 75.31 above 74.86 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 67.19-69.79.
- 17:10Z setup, P1, salience 72: PH new session high: closed 959.73 above 958 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 932.05-935.33.
- 17:10Z setup, P1, salience 64: GVA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 125.36 above 125.09 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 125.09-125.09.
- 17:11Z setup, P1, salience 86: TLN new session high: closed 361.8 above 360.9 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 343.36-350.09.
- 17:11Z setup, P1, salience 79: PENG new session high: closed 46.19 above 46.14 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 42.31-43.78.
- 17:11Z setup, P1, salience 75: W opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 117.86 above 117.57 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 115.92-117.57.
- 17:11Z setup, P1, salience 64: SEDG new session high: closed 28.18 above 28.12 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.51-27.17.
- 17:11Z setup, P1, salience 62: CMS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 69.63 above 69.56 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 69.09-69.56.
- 17:12Z setup, P1, salience 86: NEE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 87.525 above 87.41 on 6.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 86.95-87.41.
- 17:12Z setup, P1, salience 76: AEE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 114.065 above 113.76 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 113.07-113.76.
- 17:12Z setup, P1, salience 71: UBER new session high: closed 70.04 above 69.97 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 69.12-69.46.
- 17:12Z setup, P1, salience 63: FUTU new session high: closed 100.14 above 99.94 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 97.81-98.4.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $9999.01 (-0.01%) · today +0.97% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.045 (2.27%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.51 (1.47%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.97 (2.88%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 301.46 (-0.88%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.04 (1.29%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.515 (0.10%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 195.6 (-1.69%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.15 (0.59%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.965 (-1.90%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that b… [cut: 14,738 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "MARKET",
      "text": "17:12Z: Closing window active (17:00-18:00 ET). No new entries allowed. Book holds 11 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $239.54."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "Closing window is active; no new entries are allowed. I am holding all 11 positions in the book and will not enter any new trades until the next session."
}