Episode · the market · Nov 9, 2:37 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T19:37Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:33Z setup, P1, salience 65: SKYD new session high: closed 8.615 above 8.6 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 8.14-8.32.
- 19:34Z setup, P1, salience 86: DGX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 259.02 above 258.71 on 13.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 257.73-258.71.
- 19:34Z setup, P1, salience 75: TLS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 6.939 above 6.67 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 6.67-6.67.
- 19:35Z setup, P1, salience 87: CHKP new session high: closed 145.62 above 145.16 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 143.4-143.4.
- 19:35Z setup, P1, salience 75: NYT new session high: closed 71.64 above 71.47 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 68.05-68.85.
- 19:36Z setup, P1, salience 73: TMDX new session high: closed 94.55 above 94.33 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 89.18-91.72.
- 19:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: URA new session high: closed 34.32 above 34.28 on 10.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 33.07-33.35.
- 19:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: EFA new session high: closed 104.85 above 104.73 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.66-103.91.
- 19:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: COPX new session high: closed 75.05 above 74.97 on 12.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.01-74.38.
- 19:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: BBJP new session high: closed 74.165 above 74.08 on 14.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 73.11-73.39.
- 19:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: BWA new session high: closed 51.61 above 51.52 on 15× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.67-50.68.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10093.69 (+0.94%) · today +1.93% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.58 (2.65%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.53 (1.20%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.045 (2.25%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 319.47 (5.08%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 251.01 (1.00%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.84 (0.26%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.91 (-0.03%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.67 (0.68%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.23 (-1.41%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 142.285 (-0.97%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 356.775 (1.27%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week c… [cut: 13,576 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "SKYD",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:33Z (new session high 8.615). No confirmed catalyst; only T1 price shocks. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow if trend holds."
    },
    {
      "subject": "DGX",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:34Z (OR breakout 259.02). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "TLS",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:35Z (OR breakout 6.939). T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations provides a catalyst. However, closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "CHKP",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:35Z (new session high 145.62). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "NYT",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:35Z (new session high 71.64). No confirmed catalyst; only T1 price shock. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "TMDX",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:36Z (new session high 94.55). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "URA",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:37Z (new session high 34.32). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "EFA",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:37Z (new session high 104.85). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "COPX",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:37Z (new session high 75.05). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "BBJP",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:37Z (new session high 74.165). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    },
    {
      "subject": "BWA",
      "text": "Setup observed at 19:37Z (new session high 51.61). No news in feeds. Closing window active; no new entries allowed. Will review tomorrow."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "Closing window is active (19:37Z ET), so no new entries are allowed. All observed setups are noted for tomorrow's review. No positions require exits at this time."
}