Episode · the market · Nov 10, 2:57 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T19:57Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 19:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: BTSG new session high: closed 71.54 above 71.45 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 68.36-68.99.
- 19:53Z setup, P1, salience 72: SOLS new session high: closed 64.735 above 64.65 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 62.83-63.23.
- 19:54Z setup, P1, salience 65: AMZN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 271.835 above 271.54 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 267.03-271.54.
- 19:54Z setup, P1, salience 64: SF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 73.9 above 73.61 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 73.52-73.61.
- 19:55Z setup, P1, salience 88: ZIP new session high: closed 6.345 above 6.31 on 7× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.51-5.6.
- 19:56Z setup, P1, salience 69: VB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 292.81 above 292.3 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 291.68-292.3.
- 19:57Z setup, P1, salience 81: SSB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 106.05 above 105.21 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 105.21-105.21.
- 19:57Z setup, P1, salience 70: AER opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 176.105 above 175.57 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 174.61-175.57.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3829.51 · equity $10221.39 (+2.21%) · today +0.03% · 8 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.6 (1.53%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.33 (0.62%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.115 (0.41%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.425 (-0.64%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 748.91 (0.14%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.79 (-6.04%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.3 (-1.70%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 350.36 (-0.50%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2555.35). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3625.08 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2555); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 748.91 (-0.51%), QQQ 672.52 (-0.92%), IWM 280.1, DIA 521.72, VIXY 18.39, TLT 80.94

SUBJECT BTSG
- 71.59; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
c6fdefb12f8c [Nov 10, 10:54 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 70 | +3.3% since] BTSG +0.70% in 1 min (z 5.06 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT SOLS
- 64.63; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT AMZN
- 271.9674; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SF
- 73.885; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
1728a5fc0f7b [Nov 10, 11:36 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 56 | +1.1% since] SF +0.38% in 1 min (z 4.1 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT ZIP
- 6.41; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
46c891ab9212 [Nov 10, 9:43 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 96 | +16.3% since] ZIP +28.44% in 15 min (z 7.61 after removing SPY's move)
5836278ea06a [Nov 10, 1:39 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price s… [cut: 10,612 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is after the close (19:57Z). The closing window is over and no new entries are permitted in the overnight period. I am holding the 8 positions in the book; no exits or adjustments are needed as the trend core and long-term book rules remain intact. I will wait for the next session."
}