Episode · the market · Nov 10, 3:47 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T20:47Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 20:43Z setup, P1, salience 87: WAT new session high: closed 478.76 above 476.6 on 102.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 466.87-470.32.
- 20:43Z setup, P1, salience 86: MTCH new session high: closed 39.93 above 39.89 on 6.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.33-39.53.
- 20:43Z setup, P1, salience 78: VRSN new session high: closed 310.75 above 310.42 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 304.9-305.01.
- 20:43Z setup, P1, salience 62: HQY new session high: closed 103.58 above 103.35 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 101.5-101.5.
- 20:44Z setup, P1, salience 79: PXLW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 7.35 above 7.05 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 6.37-7.05.
- 20:45Z setup, P1, salience 75: XLV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 188.9 above 188.51 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 187.62-188.51.
- 20:45Z setup, P1, salience 66: T opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 21.935 above 21.91 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.78-21.91.
- 20:46Z setup, P1, salience 81: TVTX new session high: closed 51.71 above 51.64 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 51.09-51.27.
- 20:46Z setup, P1, salience 77: ICLR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 205.32 above 204.63 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 203.65-204.63.
- 20:46Z setup, P1, salience 75: UTHR new session high: closed 592.6 above 591.82 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 578.22-580.82.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 86: ABT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 110.38 above 110.23 on 6.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 109.59-110.23.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 86: MOS new session high: closed 22.96 above 22.9 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.72-22.1.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 78: BIO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 389.11 above 387.1 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 387.1-387.1.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 70: AIT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 298.52 above 297.22 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 296.26-297.22.
- 20:47Z setup, P1, salience 64: MCK new session high: closed 1085.8 above 1084.21 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 1066.43-1068.43.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3829.51 · equity $10232.18 (+2.32%) · today +0.13% · 8 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.08 (1.12%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.695 (0.33%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.44 (0.57%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.52 (-0.21%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 749.835 (0.30%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.99 (-5.59%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.56 (-1.58%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 349.29 (-0.85%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the closing window. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2558.05). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3624.87 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2558); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 749.84 (-0.38%), QQQ 673.985 (-0.7%), IWM 280.365, DIA 521.83, VIXY 18.27, TLT … [cut: 11,719 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Closing window is active; no new entries are allowed. I reviewed the setups and held all existing positions as no news or rule-based invalidation was triggered."
}