Episode · the market · Nov 9, 1:17 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T18:17Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:13Z setup, P1, salience 86: CUBE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.62 above 45.56 on 7.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.39-45.56.
- 18:13Z setup, P1, salience 86: SW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.03 above 44.95 on 12.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.43-44.95.
- 18:13Z setup, P1, salience 86: PSA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 343.005 above 342.6 on 17.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 339.55-342.6.
- 18:13Z setup, P1, salience 86: PFE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 29.52 above 29.48 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.02-29.48.
- 18:13Z setup, P1, salience 86: WST new session high: closed 409.48 above 408.95 on 6.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 399.91-402.53.
- 18:14Z setup, P1, salience 81: TPR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 135.535 above 135.04 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 134.06-135.04.
- 18:14Z setup, P1, salience 66: TTAN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 81.68 above 81.15 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 81.15-81.15.
- 18:14Z setup, P1, salience 65: KMX new session high: closed 54.97 above 54.9 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 52.1-52.73.
- 18:15Z setup, P1, salience 86: ZTS new session high: closed 82.36 above 82.14 on 8× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.03-80.52.
- 18:15Z setup, P1, salience 84: CRH new session high: closed 98.5 above 98.37 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 96.01-97.11.
- 18:15Z setup, P1, salience 78: VSXY new session high: closed 114.45 above 114.02 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 110.65-113.16.
- 18:15Z setup, P1, salience 67: INVH opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 27.335 above 27.3 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 27.12-27.3.
- 18:16Z setup, P1, salience 86: NVS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 163.64 above 163.46 on 7.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 161.84-163.46.
- 18:16Z setup, P1, salience 86: HDV new session high: closed 30.64 above 30.58 on 92.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 30.32-30.39.
- 18:16Z setup, P1, salience 68: UL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 66.42 above 66.14 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 65.83-66.14.
- 18:16Z setup, P1, salience 65: MTN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 160.41 above 160.03 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 160.03-160.03.
- 18:16Z setup, P1, salience 62: MOS new session high: closed 23.18 above 23.16 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.39-22.98.
- 18:17Z setup, P1, salience 95: EGP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 200.03 above 195.42 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 195-195.42.
- 18:17Z setup, P1, salience 87: CTAS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 223.48 above 222.72 on 17.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 222.09-222.72.
- 18:17Z setup, P1, salience 86: SPG new session high: closed 233.3 above 232.99 on 10.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 229.87-230.84.
- 18:17Z setup, P1, salience 86: VTRS new session high: closed 20.445 above 20.42 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.93-20.06.
- 18:17Z setup, P1, salience 80: LKQ new session high: closed 20.465 above 20.43 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.13-20.28.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10071.30 (+0.71%) · today +1.7% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.89 (3.05%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 388.81 (1.24%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.21 (1.70%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 313.325 (3.02%), stop 287.16, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the trailing stop at 287.16.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.07 (1.34%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.87 (0.27%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 198.66 (-0.13%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.57 (0.66%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for mont… [cut: 17,196 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 18:17Z ET, well past the 18:00 ET closing window. The rules prohibit new entries after 18:00 ET, and the closing window (17:00-18:00) already blocked all new buys. No positions in the book require exits or adjustments. I am holding and will review tomorrow."
}