Episode · the market · Nov 9, 10:47 AM

NOW: 2026-11-09T15:47Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 89: SCHM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 35.17 above 34.86 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 34.8-34.86.
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 86: CYTK new session high: closed 54.91 above 54.81 on 17.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 53.78-54.09.
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 85: SIMO new session high: closed 170.82 above 170.49 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 163.37-166.69.
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 78: WOLF new session high: closed 25.46 above 25.37 on 4× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.2-25.14.
- 15:47Z setup, P1, salience 75: UCTT new session high: closed 44.29 above 44.19 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 41.82-42.72.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10014.50 (+0.14%) · today +1.13% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.35 (2.53%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 386.245 (0.77%), stop 309.46, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 139.43 (1.78%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 308.25 (0.72%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.055 (0.51%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.59 (0.14%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 199.31 (0.19%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 750.03 (0.32%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.215 (-1.43%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 145.02 (0.85%), stop 114.99, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 353.16 (0.20%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/8 entries in 24 h, 1/3 in the last hour, 3/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2503.63). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 5/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $39.25 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2504); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; convicti… [cut: 10,851 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "SCHM",
      "text": "35.17 closed 35.17 above OR high 34.86 on 5.5× volume. No news. Daily trend up (price above SMA50/200), but 15:47Z is closing window. Intraday buys blocked by code. Watch for next session breakout above 35.17."
    },
    {
      "subject": "CYTK",
      "text": "54.91 new session high on 17.1× volume. No news. Daily trend down (price 10-16% below SMAs, RSI 32). Bounce only, no trend. Caution."
    },
    {
      "subject": "SIMO",
      "text": "170.82 new session high on 4.8× volume. No news. Daily trend down (price 15-29% below SMAs, RSI 37). Bounce only, no trend. Caution."
    },
    {
      "subject": "WOLF",
      "text": "25.46 new session high on 4× volume. No news. Daily trend mixed (price 6.5% above SMA20, 3.2% below SMA50). Bounce only, no trend. Caution."
    },
    {
      "subject": "UCTT",
      "text": "44.29 new session high on 3.6× volume. No news. Daily trend down (price 10-30% below SMAs, RSI 39). Bounce only, no trend. Caution."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "It is 15:47Z ET, the closing window. New buys are restricted to overnight or multi-day setups only. All five setups (SCHM, CYTK, SIMO, WOLF, UCTT) have no news catalysts and lack confirmed daily uptrends (most are in downtrends or mixed). SCHM is the only one in a daily uptrend, but without news, it is not a high-conviction entry. No new entries are made."
}