Episode · the market · Nov 9, 12:27 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T17:27Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:23Z setup, P1, salience 73: LRN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 76.6 above 76.5 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 76.2-76.5.
- 17:23Z setup, P1, salience 66: SIG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 119.715 above 119.39 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 119.39-119.39.
- 17:23Z setup, P1, salience 64: KHC new session high: closed 24.46 above 24.4 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 24.15-24.3.
- 17:23Z setup, P1, salience 63: DTE new session high: closed 138.355 above 138.19 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 136.62-136.91.
- 17:24Z setup, P1, salience 87: CTVA new session high: closed 12.135 above 12.09 on 6.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.98-12.05.
- 17:24Z setup, P1, salience 86: VMI new session high: closed 423.07 above 422.25 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 415.02-415.02.
- 17:24Z setup, P1, salience 72: TSCO new session high: closed 37.675 above 37.63 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 36.76-37.2.
- 17:24Z setup, P1, salience 71: ORA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 93.54 above 92.76 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 92.55-92.76.
- 17:24Z setup, P1, salience 70: NDSN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 323.78 above 320.66 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 320.66-320.66.
- 17:25Z setup, P1, salience 88: PNR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 69.695 above 69.33 on 16.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 69.03-69.33.
- 17:25Z setup, P1, salience 87: NTSK new session high: closed 22.56 above 22.46 on 5× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.24-21.41.
- 17:25Z setup, P1, salience 75: CRS new session high: closed 301.86 above 300.54 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 286.66-291.96.
- 17:25Z setup, P1, salience 63: ADBE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 239.11 above 238.82 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 236.86-238.82.
- 17:26Z setup, P1, salience 69: COST opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 1054.46 above 1053.31 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 1046.56-1053.31.
- 17:27Z setup, P1, salience 72: LEN new session high: closed 91.57 above 91.42 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 89.79-90.89.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10015.44 (+0.15%) · today +1.14% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.605 (2.78%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 391.02 (1.86%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.33 (2.50%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 301.18 (-0.96%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 253.12 (1.77%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.625 (0.16%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 197.29 (-0.82%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.245 (0.61%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.135 (-1.55%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 143.99 (0.12%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news … [cut: 14,842 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 17:27 ET, well past the 17:00 ET closing window. The rules prohibit new entries during this time. No positions in the book require exit as no trend-breaking news or stop levels have been hit. I am holding."
}