Episode · the market · Oct 30, 9:46 AM

NOW: 2026-10-30T13:46Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 13:46Z setup, P1, salience 90: SFM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 50.34 above 49.8 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.2-49.8.
- 13:46Z setup, P1, salience 89: FICO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 713.13 above 707.85 on 14.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 699.14-707.85.
- 13:46Z setup, P1, salience 66: VALE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 11.34 above 11.26 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.1-11.26.
- 13:46Z setup, P1, salience 65: SPOT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 580.18 above 578.56 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 570.79-578.56.
- 13:46Z setup, P1, salience 63: TSLL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 10.82 above 10.79 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.54-10.79.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $2774.52 · equity $9927.98 (-0.72%) · today -0.77% · 4 stocks, 0 options positions
- DIA: 4 shares at 522.89, now 521.68 (-0.25%), stop 483.7, target 620.9, multi_day horizon, opened 9:49 AM ET. Thesis: DIA at 522.89 sits above sma20 517.45 and sma50 522.26 with +1.97% 20-day return; only qualifying swing ETF per CONTEXT. 7.5% stop at 483.67, 2.5R target 620.94. Invalidation: Daily close below sma50 522.26
- IWM: 6 shares at 285.08, now 281.715 (-1.17%), stop 277.5, target 300, multi_day horizon, opened 11:35 AM ET. Thesis: IWM 284.99 holds above daily sma20 (277.55) and sma50 (284.66) with +1.31% today. 5m trend up, holding VWAP (283.93). Daily invalidation is a close below sma20. Stop at 277.50 (2.6% risk), target 300.00 (5.3% reward), R:R 2.0. Conviction 7. Invalidation: Daily close below sma20 277.55
- SOFI: 64 shares at 17.37, now 17.145 (-1.41%), stop 16.95, target 18.2, multi_day horizon, opened 9:45 AM ET. Thesis: Breakout above daily sma20 (15.36) and 5-min opening range high (17.18) on volume. Holding above VWAP (17.04). Q3 beat and raised 2027 guidance support multi-day follow-through. R:R 2.25. Invalidation: Daily close below VWAP 17.04 or 5-min swing low 16.88
- SPY: 3 shares at 767.06, now 760.37 (-0.89%), stop 710.6, target 912.2, multi_day horizon, opened 9:49 AM ET. Thesis: SPY 768.19 is the owner's stated reference broad index; near sma50 767.49 despite slight sma20 discount. 7.5% stop 710.58, 2.5R target 912.22. Invalidation: Daily close below sma50 767.49

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $993 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2482); 4/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $2575.96 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2482); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 760.365 (-1.19%), QQQ 695.805 (-2.74%), IWM 281.73 (-0.8%), DIA 521.72 (-0.2%), VIXY 17.73, TLT 81.82

SUBJECT SFM
- 50.34; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT FICO
- 713.13; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT VALE
- 11.34; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SPOT
- 580.18; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT TSLL
- 10.82; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

YOUR NOTES
none

YOUR WATCHES
none

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "SPOT",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 2.5,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 570.41,
      "take_profit": 595,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "SPOT shows the highest quality breakout: price 580.18 closed above the 15-min OR high (578.56) on 2.3x volume, while holding above SMA20 (536.3) and SMA50 (530.3) with a strong +22.71% 20-day return. RSI 62.6 allows room. Stop at OR low 570.41 (-1.68%). Target 595 (+2.5%). Risk/Reward > 1.5. No news, but technicals are clean.",
      "evidence": [],
      "invalidation": "Close below VWAP 575.03 or OR low 570.41.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "TSLL",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": 2.5,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 10.54,
      "take_profit": 11.5,
      "horizon": "intraday",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "TSLL broke the 15-min OR (10.79) on 2.1x volume to 10.82. It is above SMA20 (10.24) and SMA50 (9.82) with +10.52% 20-day return. RSI 55.8 is neutral. Stop at OR low 10.54 (-2.59%). Target 11.50 (+6.3%). Risk/Reward > 2. No news, but strong momentum.",
      "evidence": [],
      "invalidation": "Close below VWAP 10.70 or OR low 10.54.",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Bought SPOT and TSLL on their opening-range breakouts. Both are intraday positions with stops at OR lows. Held existing positions."
}