Episode · the market · Nov 10, 12:43 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T17:43Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:39Z setup, P1, salience 76: CORD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 6.78 above 6.65 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 6.19-6.65.
- 17:39Z setup, P1, salience 76: PG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 169.68 above 169.47 on 3.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 168.36-169.47.
- 17:39Z setup, P1, salience 70: XLU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 43.765 above 43.71 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.4-43.71.
- 17:40Z setup, P1, salience 71: EXC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 45.875 above 45.67 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 45.2-45.67.
- 17:40Z setup, P1, salience 69: TROW opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 111 above 110.54 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 110.27-110.54.
- 17:40Z setup, P1, salience 68: VTRS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 20.55 above 20.51 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.34-20.51.
- 17:40Z setup, P1, salience 65: STE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 257.77 above 255.93 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 255.82-255.93.
- 17:40Z setup, P1, salience 65: TFX new session high: closed 155.88 above 155.59 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 154.3-154.3.
- 17:41Z setup, P1, salience 86: NVDQ new session high: closed 14.25 above 14.22 on 10.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 13.19-13.57.
- 17:41Z setup, P1, salience 73: WCN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 190.25 above 189.83 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 188.2-189.83.
- 17:41Z setup, P1, salience 64: MMM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 189.05 above 188.68 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 188.36-188.68.
- 17:42Z setup, P1, salience 68: FIVE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 253.03 above 249.76 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 248.27-249.76.
- 17:42Z setup, P1, salience 68: UVXY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 19.66 above 19.59 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 19.15-19.59.
- 17:42Z setup, P1, salience 62: IRON new session high: closed 82.88 above 82.73 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 80.53-80.77.
- 17:43Z setup, P1, salience 75: SNDQ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 32.64 above 31.75 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 30.59-31.75.
- 17:43Z setup, P1, salience 70: BUD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 86.18 above 86.03 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.47-86.03.
- 17:43Z setup, P1, salience 68: CAG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 15.28 above 15.26 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.11-15.26.
- 17:43Z setup, P1, salience 64: LHX new session high: closed 277.165 above 276.87 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 273.33-276.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10163.26 (+1.63%) · today -0.54% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.88 (1.54%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 249.63 (0.33%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.06 (0.36%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 190.95 (-4.02%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 22.965 (-2.63%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 745.965 (-0.24%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.215 (-7.12%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.48 (-1.74%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 348.94 (-0.96%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up t… [cut: 13,501 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "MARKET",
      "text": "Closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. No new entries allowed. All observed setups (CORD, PG, XLU, EXC, TROW, VTRS, STE, TFX, NVDQ, WCN, MMM, FIVE, UVXY, IRON, SNDQ, BUD, CAG, LHX) are late-day breakouts without confirmed catalysts (news absent or unconfirmed anomalies). Book holds 9 stocks; no exits triggered. Cash $3447.57."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "Closing window active; no new entries allowed. All observed setups lack confirmed catalysts. Book holds 9 stocks; no exits triggered."
}