Episode · the market · Nov 9, 12:17 PM

NOW: 2026-11-09T17:17Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:13Z setup, P1, salience 71: BSX new session high: closed 44.075 above 44.03 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 43.09-43.65.
- 17:13Z setup, P1, salience 69: PAYC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 239.7 above 238.53 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 238.02-238.53.
- 17:14Z setup, P1, salience 81: JOBY new session high: closed 6.195 above 6.16 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.83-5.94.
- 17:14Z setup, P1, salience 68: MSM new session high: closed 119.63 above 119.08 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 115.42-117.25.
- 17:15Z setup, P1, salience 86: VICR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 162.77 above 153.98 on 3.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 150-153.98.
- 17:15Z setup, P1, salience 73: AES opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 14.925 above 14.91 on 3.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 14.89-14.91.
- 17:15Z setup, P1, salience 67: VMC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 289.595 above 289.06 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 287.29-289.06.
- 17:15Z setup, P1, salience 65: AYI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 336.185 above 335.33 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 332.31-335.33.
- 17:15Z setup, P1, salience 62: NTNX new session high: closed 60.41 above 60.3 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.07-59.44.
- 17:16Z setup, P1, salience 70: GWRE new session high: closed 160.8 above 160.62 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 160.02-160.02.
- 17:16Z setup, P1, salience 69: REG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 75.5 above 75.42 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 74.93-75.42.
- 17:17Z setup, P1, salience 87: BXP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 66.53 above 66.21 on 6.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 65.89-66.21.
- 17:17Z setup, P1, salience 77: MEDP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 667.995 above 660.01 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 657.81-660.01.
- 17:17Z setup, P1, salience 75: IBP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 223.58 above 223.31 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 221.8-223.31.
- 17:17Z setup, P1, salience 65: PODD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 148.435 above 148.14 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 146.27-148.14.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $239.54 · equity $10003.09 (+0.03%) · today +1.01% · 11 stocks, 0 options positions
- FROG: 24 shares at 103.73, now 106.37 (2.54%), stop 99.51, target 108, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: FROG is the only setup in a clear long-term uptrend (price above SMA50/200, 52-week high within 2%). It broke above the 15-min opening range (102.30) on 6.9x median volume, closing at 103.11. While news is absent, the technical structure is strong: SMA20/50 at ~93.50 provide support, and the 20-day range (74-103.75) shows a steady climb. The stop at the opening range low (99.51) is 3.5% below entry, offering a tight risk profile with room to the next resistance near 108.00 (+4.7%). Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 99.51.
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 389.54 (1.48%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- NBIS: 10 shares at 136.96, now 140.66 (2.72%), stop 129.47, target 145, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: NBIS broke above its 15-min opening range (134.80) on 7x median volume, closing at 135.70. It has a T1 anomaly spike (+2.99% in 5 min) and upcoming earnings (Benzinga report). However, the daily trend is down (price 16% below SMA50, RSI 36.9), making this a speculative bounce play. The stop at the opening range low (129.48) is 4.5% below entry. The target of 145.00 offers a 6.8% reward. Caution is warranted due to the lack of a confirmed catalyst beyond the price shock and the downtrend. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 129.48.
- PRAX: 5 shares at 304.11, now 300.13 (-1.21%), stop 281.67, target 340, multi_day horizon, opened 9:56 AM ET. Thesis: PRAX broke its 15-min opening range (281.67-289.50) on 5.4x volume, closing at 300.72. The move is backed by a T1 SEC filing (8-K) for results of operations, providing a fundamental catalyst for the surge. The price action shows strong momentum (+3.8% from OR high to close) with heavy volume support. The stop at the opening range low (281.67) is 6.3% below entry, offering a defined risk with significant upside to the next resistance level around 340. This is a high-conviction momentum play driven by a confirmed catalyst. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 281.67.
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 252.23 (1.34%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.64 (0.17%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 196.375 (-1.22%), stop 159.16, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 752.275 (0.62%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 52.11 (-1.62%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 144.075 (0.26%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week… [cut: 13,181 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "It is 17:17Z ET, deep in the closing window (17:00–18:00 ET). Per the rules, no new entries are allowed in this window. All setups are late-day breakouts without catalysts. Book holds 11 stocks with no exits triggered."
}