Episode · the market · Nov 10, 1:57 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T18:57Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 18:53Z setup, P1, salience 86: DOX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.5 above 41.33 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.97-41.33.
- 18:53Z setup, P1, salience 69: EG new session high: closed 422.65 above 421.92 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 415.39-415.39.
- 18:53Z setup, P1, salience 63: CHDN new session high: closed 102.14 above 102.03 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 98.92-98.92.
- 18:54Z setup, P1, salience 86: WYNN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 87.36 above 87.17 on 6.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 85.99-87.17.
- 18:54Z setup, P1, salience 80: COKE opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 212.135 above 207.5 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 207.5-207.5.
- 18:54Z setup, P1, salience 69: CPAY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 459.47 above 458.84 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 456.45-458.84.
- 18:55Z setup, P1, salience 63: AKAM new session high: closed 83.49 above 83.38 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 78.75-81.8.
- 18:56Z setup, P1, salience 86: HAE new session high: closed 122.24 above 122.09 on 5.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 117.88-117.88.
- 18:57Z setup, P1, salience 86: DVN new session high: closed 43.62 above 43.58 on 5.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 41.51-42.37.
- 18:57Z setup, P1, salience 66: THC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 292.08 above 291.41 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 289.62-291.41.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10215.12 (+2.15%) · today -0.03% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.47 (1.59%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.165 (0.60%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.285 (0.48%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 190.73 (-4.14%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.395 (-0.78%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 748.125 (0.05%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 49.505 (-6.54%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 140.91 (-1.95%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 349.9 (-0.70%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2553.78). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3243.27 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2554); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 748.125 (-0.61%), QQQ 671.77 (-1.03%), IWM 280, DIA 520.62, VIXY 18.505, TLT 80.73

SUBJECT DOX
- 41.47; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT EG
- 422.43; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CHDN
- 102.175; technicals: use the tools
-… [cut: 11,322 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The closing window is active (18:57Z ET), so no new entries are allowed. All observed setups lack confirmed catalysts or are late-day breakouts without news. Book positions are stable; no exits triggered."
}