Episode · the market · Nov 10, 10:38 AM

NOW: 2026-11-10T15:38Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 15:34Z setup, P1, salience 86: VFLO opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 52.49 above 52.37 on 5.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 52.25-52.37.
- 15:34Z setup, P1, salience 86: FMX new session high: closed 131.44 above 131.16 on 8.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 129.4-130.17.
- 15:34Z setup, P1, salience 84: FFIV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 319.975 above 318.44 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 314.63-318.44.
- 15:34Z setup, P1, salience 83: HR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 19.115 above 19.07 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 18.95-19.07.
- 15:34Z setup, P1, salience 67: CLX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 105.42 above 104.89 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.87-104.89.
- 15:35Z setup, P1, salience 84: DBMF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 31.56 above 31.49 on 4.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 31.43-31.49.
- 15:35Z setup, P1, salience 74: CHTR new session high: closed 123.34 above 122.98 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 119.88-122.43.
- 15:35Z setup, P1, salience 72: BBWI new session high: closed 21.46 above 21.42 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.03-21.28.
- 15:35Z setup, P1, salience 64: WAT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 471.24 above 470.32 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 466.87-470.32.
- 15:36Z setup, P1, salience 66: GEN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 29.645 above 29.62 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.47-29.62.
- 15:36Z setup, P1, salience 65: VRSN new session high: closed 307.64 above 307.21 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 304.9-305.01.
- 15:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: SGRY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 26.6 above 26.55 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.42-26.55.
- 15:37Z setup, P1, salience 86: LYFT new session high: closed 16.82 above 16.8 on 9.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 16.41-16.7.
- 15:37Z setup, P1, salience 82: WELL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 245.84 above 245.51 on 4.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 244.21-245.51.
- 15:37Z setup, P1, salience 73: RS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 429.13 above 420.79 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 420.79-420.79.
- 15:37Z setup, P1, salience 63: DLR new session high: closed 183.74 above 183.25 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 178.82-180.45.
- 15:38Z setup, P1, salience 87: FIGS new session high: closed 22.46 above 22.36 on 43.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.21-21.73.
- 15:38Z setup, P1, salience 72: HRL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 22.18 above 22.15 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 22.07-22.15.
- 15:38Z setup, P1, salience 68: DK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 63.08 above 62.59 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 61.96-62.59.
- 15:38Z setup, P1, salience 64: RNG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 72.3 above 72.21 on 2.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 72.21-72.21.
- 15:38Z setup, P1, salience 64: WDAY new session high: closed 190.34 above 189.96 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 186.39-188.23.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10226.64 (+2.27%) · today +0.08% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 387.66 (0.98%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 248.015 (-0.24%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 196.15 (0.43%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 194.835 (-2.08%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.53 (-0.21%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 749.005 (0.20%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 50.325 (-5.01%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 139.6 (-2.89%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 347.095 (-1.47%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week c… [cut: 16,689 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [
    {
      "subject": "FIGS",
      "text": "FIGS (salience 87) showed a massive volume spike (43.9× median) and broke its opening range high. However, the only news is a T1 anomaly (price shock) with no fundamental catalyst. In the closing window, we require conviction ≥ 6 and a clear thesis. Without news, this is likely a liquidity event or short squeeze, not a sustainable trend entry. We skip to avoid chasing a move with no fundamental anchor."
    },
    {
      "subject": "LYFT",
      "text": "LYFT (salience 86) broke its opening range high on 9.6× volume. News includes a Q3 earnings miss (revenue -5.2%) and a $53M lawsuit. The earnings miss and lawsuit are bearish/neutral, while the price action is bullish. This divergence suggests the move may be a short squeeze or technical breakout without fundamental support. In the closing window, we prefer entries with clearer fundamental tailwinds. We skip."
    },
    {
      "subject": "Closing Window",
      "text": "It is 15:38Z ET. The closing window (17:00-18:00 ET) is active. Rules prohibit new stock entries in the closing window unless they are overnight/multi-day with conviction ≥ 6. The observed setups lack confirmed fundamental catalysts (news is either absent or negative/mixed). We hold our positions and wait for the next session."
    }
  ],
  "reply": "It is 15:38Z ET, in the closing window. No new stock entries are allowed. We observe strong technical breakouts in FIGS, LYFT, and VFLO, but they lack confirmed fundamental catalysts (news is absent or negative/mixed). We hold our existing positions and wait for the next session."
}