Episode · the market · Nov 10, 1:03 PM

NOW: 2026-11-10T18:03Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 17:59Z setup, P1, salience 87: FLUT new session high: closed 83.88 above 83.57 on 5.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 79.71-81.04.
- 17:59Z setup, P1, salience 72: JAZZ opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 244.45 above 243.2 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 243.04-243.2.
- 17:59Z setup, P1, salience 64: ULTA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 664.09 above 661.36 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 661.36-661.36.
- 18:00Z setup, P1, salience 79: AMP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 522.805 above 522.27 on 4.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 522.21-522.27.
- 18:00Z setup, P1, salience 68: CNC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 69.075 above 68.99 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 68.22-68.99.
- 18:01Z setup, P1, salience 80: LIN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 522.14 above 520.64 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 518.52-520.64.
- 18:01Z setup, P1, salience 64: LQDA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 49.46 above 49.19 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 46.65-49.19.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 73: STAK new session high: closed 5.965 above 5.95 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.28-5.28.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 64: AHR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 59.41 above 59.35 on 2.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 58.53-59.35.
- 18:02Z setup, P1, salience 63: MGM opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 33.075 above 32.98 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 32.49-32.98.
- 18:03Z setup, P1, salience 74: EQT new session high: closed 51.88 above 51.82 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 49.44-50.01.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3447.57 · equity $10178.70 (+1.79%) · today -0.39% · 9 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 390.44 (1.69%), stop 312.05, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 250.07 (0.48%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.945 (0.34%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- RVMD: 2 shares at 198.96, now 190.245 (-4.38%), stop 160.43, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 217.0% (skipping the last month), 21.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 23.11 (-2.02%), stop 22.66, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 745.97 (-0.23%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 48.96 (-7.57%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 141.25 (-1.77%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 349.78 (-0.70%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 160.8% (skipping the last month), 19.4% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 2/8 entries in 24 h, 0/3 in the last hour, 1/4 open; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 6 h after a stop-out or 2 h after an exit.
- Sizing is code's: a buy risks 1% of equity at its stop (×0.75 at conviction 6, up to ×1.25 at 10), up to 25% of equity per position ($2544.68). A closer stop means more shares; leave allocation_pct null.
- Risk checks: 3/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (no intraday buys in the closing window); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $3244 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2545); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; overnight and multi-day ones stay. Stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders, and once a position is up by its stop distance code trails its stop at that distance behind the price.

MARKET
- SPY 745.97 (-0.9%), QQQ 669.28 (-1.4%), IWM 279.22, DIA 519.97, VIXY 18.8875, TLT 80.58

SUBJECT FLUT
- 83.55; technicals: use the tools
- news:… [cut: 12,351 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "The session is closed; no new entries are allowed. All observed setups lack confirmed catalysts or are late-day breakouts without news. Book positions remain unchanged."
}