Episode · the market · Nov 6, 11:46 AM

NOW: 2026-11-06T16:46Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 16:42Z setup, P1, salience 87: JAN new session high: closed 31.815 above 31.71 on 7.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 30.64-30.72.
- 16:43Z setup, P1, salience 87: NWSA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 26.635 above 26.51 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.1-26.51.
- 16:43Z setup, P1, salience 72: NVO new session high: closed 40.395 above 40.32 on 3.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.62-39.92.
- 16:44Z setup, P1, salience 76: STLD new session high: closed 228.47 above 227.1 on 3.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 223.98-225.54.
- 16:44Z setup, P1, salience 71: SKYD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 8.135 above 8.11 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 7.96-8.11.
- 16:44Z setup, P1, salience 67: LYV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 177.28 above 176.86 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 172.75-176.86.
- 16:44Z setup, P1, salience 66: CW new session high: closed 457.89 above 457 on 2.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 441.44-451.25.
- 16:44Z setup, P1, salience 62: AMG new session high: closed 358.32 above 357.62 on 2× its median minute volume today; opening range 353.71-353.71.
- 16:45Z setup, P1, salience 86: VLTO new session high: closed 116.95 above 116.83 on 8.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 113.58-114.64.
- 16:45Z setup, P1, salience 79: CHKP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 147.71 above 147.52 on 4.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 145.89-147.52.
- 16:45Z setup, P1, salience 72: VXF opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 224.66 above 223.41 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 222.74-223.41.
- 16:45Z setup, P1, salience 68: ELF new session high: closed 117.41 above 117.07 on 2.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 107.7-113.08.
- 16:45Z setup, P1, salience 63: ABNB opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 190.42 above 189.82 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 186-189.82.
- 16:46Z setup, P1, salience 68: MOD opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 97.77 above 96.7 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 93.03-96.7.
- 16:46Z setup, P1, salience 63: GRMN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 283.105 above 282.38 on 2.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 281.55-282.38.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $9901.35 · equity $9901.35 (-0.99%) · today +0% · 0 stocks, 0 options positions
- no stock positions

LIMITS (enforced by code)
- Market: the regular session. New buys: allowed.
- Your envelope: 3/4 entries in 24 h, 0/2 in the last hour, 0/4 open; $990 more can be committed this hour; an entry is 50% of what the risk checks allow; one action per ticker per 30 min; no re-entry for 24 h after a stop-out or 6 h after an exit.
- Risk checks: at most 25% of equity per position ($2475.34); 0/8 positions; conviction ≥ 6/10 (≥ 8 for an overnight buy in the closing window, and none intraday then); price ≥ $5; stop 0.4-10% below the price (default 2.5%); reward:risk ≥ 1.2; no rebuy within 15 min of a sale; $9703.32 deployable cash.
- Options: open premium $0 of the 25% of equity cap ($2475); at most 4% of equity per position; 0/6 positions; conviction ≥ 7; long calls and puts, call and put debit spreads; buy |delta| 0.25-0.7, 7-45 days to expiration; contracts only from an option_menu result in this episode; exits default to -60% / +150% of the position's value, and code closes positions before expiration.
- Intraday stock positions are closed by code in the last minutes of the session; stops and targets rest at the broker as bracket or OCO orders.

MARKET
- SPY 739.615 (-3.54%), QQQ 659.89 (-4.6%), IWM 273.4181, DIA 514.545, VIXY 19.85, TLT 82.05

SUBJECT JAN
- 31.76; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
c135c252d0db [Nov 5, 4:33 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | offering | sev 65] JAN 424B4: Janus Living, Inc. (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/2100805/000110465926123373/0001104659-26-123373-index.htm)
39989c70b5c3 [Nov 6, 10:08 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 59 | +2.2% since] JAN +1.68% in 5 min (z 4.27 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT NWSA
- 26.55; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT NVO
- 40.37; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT STLD
- 228.43; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT SKYD
- 8.13; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
e14a385807fc [Nov 6, 11:43 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 64 | -0.1% since] SKYD +0.81% in 1 min (z 4.63 after removing SPY's move)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT LYV
- 176.895; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
42a3100cc262 [Nov 5, 4:17 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | earnings | sev 60] LYV 8-K: 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1335258/000133525826000052/0001335258-26-000052-index.htm)
4b4ff8cd2571 [Nov 5, 3:07 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 59 | -2.2% since] LYV -0.52% in 1 min (z -4.29 after removing SPY's move)
878f8fb916d1 [Nov 5, 9:10 PM ET | T2 zacks.com | earnings | sev 51] Live Nation (LYV) Q3 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates (https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/3024964/live-nation-lyv-q3-earnings-how-key-metrics-compare-to-wall-street-estimates?cid=CS-ZC-FT-fundamental_analysis|nfm-3024964)
</untrusted>

SUBJECT CW
- 457.89; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT AMG
- 358.32; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
870e37b10148 [Nov 6, 9:41 AM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 56 | +1.3% since] AMG +0.94% in 1 min (z 4.1 after removing SPY's move)
8b0ce9b67f3e [Nov 6, 3:02 AM ET | T2 globenewswire.com | guidance | sev 55] AMG Critical Materials N.V. Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results and Increases Full-Year Guidance (https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/11/05/3397188/0/en/amg-increases-guidance-following-strong-third-quarter-2026-earnings.html)
> machine summary of the article: AMG reported third quarter 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $78 million, a 22% improvement compared to the $64 million in the third quarter of 2025. CEO Dr. Heinz Schimmelbusch stated the company increases its adjusted EBITDA guidance to approximately $280 million for 2026, up from a range of between $230 and $250 million. AMG ended the quarter with $550 million of total liquidity as of September 30, 2026.
</untrusted>

SUBJECT VLTO
- 116.95; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT CHKP
- 147.77; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT VXF
- 224.66; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ELF
- 117.41; technicals: use the tools
- news: nothing in our feeds about it in the last 24 h

SUBJECT ABNB
- 189.945; technicals: use the tools
- news in our feeds, last 24 h, most severe first:
<untrusted source="wire">
0d462f7529e7 [Nov 5, 4:04 PM ET | T1 sec.gov | earnings | sev 75 | +12.0% since] ABNB 8-K: 2.02 Results of Operations and Financial Condition (https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1559720/000119312526449727/0001193125-26-449727-index.htm)
d5309f8decdc [Nov 5, 3:52 PM ET | T1 anomaly | price shock | sev 59 | +11.2% since] ABNB +0.74% in 1 min (z 4.29 after removing SPY's move)
2c33c80eb1f7 [Nov 5, 4:34 PM ET | T2 marketscreener.com | guidance | sev 55] Airbnb Reports Q3 2026 Fina… [cut: 10,574 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Market is closed (16:46Z). All intraday positions are closed by code. No new entries are permitted in the closing window or after hours. I will review the setups tomorrow morning."
}