Episode · the market · Nov 11, 9:51 AM

NOW: 2026-11-11T14:51Z

WOKE FOR: MARKET (P1 opportunity)

OBSERVATIONS
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 88: FIS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 28.46 above 28.3 on 41.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 27.96-28.3.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 76: MAT opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 16.055 above 16.02 on 3.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 15.93-16.02.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 73: CHTR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 134.19 above 133.09 on 2.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 131.22-133.09.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 73: SNAP opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 5.165 above 5.14 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 5.03-5.14.
- 14:47Z setup, P1, salience 70: MDLN opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 41.8 above 41.7 on 3× its median minute volume today; opening range 40.95-41.7.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 87: WTRG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 44.97 above 44.82 on 7.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 44.5-44.82.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 74: VEEV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 311 above 310.37 on 3.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 307.74-310.37.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 72: INTU opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 340.81 above 339.71 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 336.28-339.71.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 68: WRBY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 31.01 above 30.95 on 2.8× its median minute volume today; opening range 30.13-30.95.
- 14:48Z setup, P1, salience 67: SPXS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 25.345 above 25.3 on 2.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 25.1-25.3.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 86: VFC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 20.72 above 20.67 on 11.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 20.39-20.67.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 83: GEHC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 83.2 above 83.03 on 4.6× its median minute volume today; opening range 82.59-83.03.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 76: VG opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 12.43 above 12.31 on 3.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.07-12.31.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 73: SSPC opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 8.66 above 8.44 on 2.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 8-8.44.
- 14:49Z setup, P1, salience 71: GPK opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 11.015 above 10.98 on 3.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.91-10.98.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 87: BBY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 105.625 above 105.3 on 11.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 103.1-105.3.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: ACI opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 13.08 above 13.07 on 5.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 12.97-13.07.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 86: OWL opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 10.27 above 10.26 on 29.7× its median minute volume today; opening range 10.19-10.26.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 82: IBKR opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 81.575 above 81.23 on 4.4× its median minute volume today; opening range 79.92-81.23.
- 14:50Z setup, P1, salience 81: T opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 22.06 above 21.99 on 4.3× its median minute volume today; opening range 21.86-21.99.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 88: BAX opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 26.445 above 26.28 on 11.5× its median minute volume today; opening range 26.04-26.28.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 88: CRGY opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 11.405 above 11.33 on 19.1× its median minute volume today; opening range 11.19-11.33.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: APTV opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 39.73 above 39.61 on 11.2× its median minute volume today; opening range 39.46-39.61.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 87: HONA opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 167.64 above 166.9 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 166.08-166.9.
- 14:51Z setup, P1, salience 86: JETS opening-range breakout (first 15 min): closed 30.075 above 30 on 5.9× its median minute volume today; opening range 29.85-30.

YOUR BOOK (the paper account: your decisions trade it; started with $10,000)
cash $3829.42 · equity $10363.39 (+3.63%) · today +1.31% · 8 stocks, 0 options positions
- MPC: 1 shares at 383.85, now 397.01 (3.43%), stop 316.22, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 148.9% (skipping the last month), 25.9% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PSX: 2 shares at 248.78, now 255.2 (2.58%), stop 212.58, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.2% (skipping the last month), 21.7% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- PTC: 7 shares at 195.33, now 195.88 (0.28%), stop 190.75, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 16.8% above a 50-day average 12.9% over the 200-day; 6-month 33% at 1.17% daily ATR (strength 28.2); 100% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- S: 107 shares at 23.57, now 24.35 (3.44%), stop 23.8, target 25, multi_day horizon, opened 9:46 AM ET. Thesis: Strongest setup: price above SMA20/50/200, positive 5d return, heavy volume breakout. Opening range low 22.66 provides tight stop. Reward 6% vs risk 4% (R:R > 1.2). Invalidation: Price closes below 22.66.
- SPY: 1 shares at 747.67, now 756.23 (1.14%), stop none, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term book: SPY at 15% of equity, held while its weekly close stays above its 200-day average: last week closed at 735.29, 0.67% vs its 200-day average 730.38. Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- U: 2 shares at 52.97, now 51.37 (-3.02%), stop 47.67, target none, TREND CORE (rules-managed: its stop trails and a close below the 50-day average sells it; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the trend), multi_day horizon, opened 10:01 AM ET. Thesis: Trend core: 21.2% above a 50-day average 34% over the 200-day; 6-month 82.8% at 5.23% daily ATR (strength 15.84); 97% of its 52-week high Invalidation: The trailing stop, or a close below the 50-day average.
- USO: 3 shares at 143.74, now 143.06 (-0.48%), stop 115.75, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months until a week closes below its 200-day average; sell it yourself only on news that breaks the long-term case), multi_day horizon, opened 10:00 AM ET. Thesis: Long-term leader: 12-month return 107.8% (skipping the last month), 17.8% above its 200-day average Invalidation: A week closing below its 200-day average (a leader also: its trailing stop, or dropping out of the top at a month's refresh).
- VLO: 1 shares at 352.24, now 358.43 (1.81%), stop 300.25, target none, LONG-TERM BOOK (rules-managed: held for months un… [cut: 16,220 characters in all]

{
  "decisions": [
    {
      "symbol": "VG",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": null,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 12.07,
      "take_profit": 14,
      "horizon": "multi_day",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "VG Q3 earnings and revenues beat estimates, and management raised 2026 profit outlook citing AI power demand. Price broke above the 15-min opening range high (12.49) on 10.6× median volume. Technically, it is above SMA200 (12.82) and SMA50 (13.48) is nearby; 5-day return is +4.13%. The move is supported by a T2 analyst upgrade (Deutsche Bank) and strong volume. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 12.07.",
      "evidence": [
        "VG Q3 earnings beat (T2 Zacks, Nov 10)",
        "Raised 2026 profit outlook on AI power demand (T2 Benzinga, Nov 10)",
        "Deutsche Bank raised PT to $18 (T2 Marketscreener, Nov 11)",
        "Opened at 12.485, broke OR high 12.49 on 10.6× volume (14:47Z)",
        "SMA200 at 12.82; price is below SMA50 (13.48) but recovering"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price closes below 12.07 (opening range low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    },
    {
      "symbol": "GEHC",
      "action": "buy",
      "allocation_pct": null,
      "sell_pct": 100,
      "stop_loss": 82.59,
      "take_profit": 88,
      "horizon": "multi_day",
      "setup": "breakout",
      "conviction": 7,
      "rationale": "GEHC announced Vscan Air AI expansion with Lung Guidance and AutoAS, a catalyst for point-of-care diagnostics. Price broke above the 15-min opening range high (83.42) on 4.6× median volume. Technically, it is 19.3% above its 200-day average (69.9) and 9.25% above SMA20 (76.35), showing a strong uptrend. RSI is 71.6, slightly elevated but not overbought. Invalidation: Price closes below the opening range low of 82.59.",
      "evidence": [
        "Vscan Air AI expansion with Lung Guidance (T2 Zacks, Nov 10)",
        "Opened at 83.415, broke OR high 83.42 on 4.6× volume (14:47Z)",
        "SMA200 at 69.9; price is 19.33% above it",
        "SMA20 at 76.35; price is 9.25% above it"
      ],
      "invalidation": "Price closes below 82.59 (opening range low).",
      "structure_id": null,
      "option": null
    }
  ],
  "watches": [],
  "cancel_watches": [],
  "notes": [],
  "reply": "Bought VG and GEHC on opening-range breakouts with confirmed earnings/catalyst support. VG beat Q3 earnings and raised outlook; GEHC announced AI product expansion. Both broke above their 15-min opening ranges on heavy volume. Stops set at the opening range lows."
}